How does green investment respond differently to decomposed oil shocks?-张培刚发展研究院

Abstract：This study investigates the asymmetric impact of oil price shocks on green investment by using a Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) framework. Oil price shocks are decomposed from perspectives of supply, demand, and risk of the oil market, and the green investment is proxied by the Dow Jones Sustainability World Index. The asymmetry of the oil price impact is examined from different sources of the shocks and the condition when the specific shock level is positive or negative. Our findings indicate that impacts of oil shocks on green investment are different depending on sources of the shocks and time horizons. Specifically, supply shocks exhibit no obvious asymmetric effects. Positive and negative changes of the demand shock depict asymmetric impacts on green investment, while such an asymmetry gradually evolves to be symmetric in the long-run. In contrast, the impact of risk shocks is symmetric in the short-run while being evolved to be asymmetric in the long-run. Moreover, the linkage of oil shocks with green investment is shown to be altered by unanticipated events such as the financial crisis or the COVID-19 pandemic, suggesting the uncertainty embedded in the two is somewhat similar.

DOI：https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.104997

链接：How does green investment respond differently to decomposed oil shocks? - ScienceDirect